While it is true that the emergence of the Resistance bloc at Israel’s gates is an immediate danger that could have led Trump to recognize the Israeli occupation of the Golan, it is also true that a frontal confrontation between this bloc and the occupying regime is not something Washington wants, at least not in the immediate future. Why then precipitate the war by announcing a Judaization of the Golan, which, judging by the outcry it has caused throughout the world, seems very difficult to achieve?
In a recent premonitory article, Haaretz mentioned the discovery of shale oil on the Golan Heights, something that would have whetted the Trump administration’s voracious appetite, which, as we all know, included businessmen, gunsmiths and oil players. According to the article, the American oil company Genie, through its Israeli subsidiary, was granted exclusive exploration rights to drill the occupied Golan Heights in 2013 by a Netanyahu government that was already considering securing Trump’s unconditional support. Two years later, an important oil discovery took place on this same strategic land by Genie, a firm close to Jared Kushner. In November 2015, The Economist even titled: “Black gold in the Golan, a godsend. “The magazine then explained how American and Israeli oil experts had found a windfall, but an unexplored windfall, since it was located on an “extremely disturbing site” in terms of international law. Mr. Trump had therefore to break the ban by breaking international law, a matter in which he excelled in opening the Golan Heights to his tankers. Officially recognizing the Golan as “Israeli territory” would therefore make it possible to break the legal deadlock over the Gulf oil trade, negotiate its exploitation with the United States and many investors, including those close to Trump, who would thus make big profits.
Obviously, such a market would not go without impacting consumers and energy producers, including China and Russia. It should be recalled that the Chinese port project in Haifa is of deep concern to the United States, as is Russia’s increasingly perceptible presence in the Middle East, which is tending to overtake Syria and affect Lebanon and especially its gas sector. This is where Russian and Israeli interests diverge. There has been little media coverage, but in occupied Palestine, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has had a good discussion with his Israeli hosts about their plans to export natural gas to Europe with substantial support from the “Cypriot and Greek partners”.
Israel hopes to engage several European countries in the construction of a 2,000 kilometre (1,243 mile) pipeline linking vast gas resources in the eastern Mediterranean at a cost of $7 billion. An idealistic project that aims to beat the Russian giant to the punch. The US-Israel manoeuvre in the Golan is not at all foreign to this eminently anti-Russian project, especially since in the summer, the Syrian army, with the help of the Russians, made its great comeback on the line of contact in the Golan after having driven out the takfirist auxiliaries of Israel from Quneïtra and Deraa.