The American authorities acknowledge the White House’s deep concern about Iran’s reaction to its campaign of maximum pressure.
While the US administration began punishing Iranian oil customers on Thursday, May 2, some White House officials warn that reducing Iran’s oil exports to zero will be more difficult than expected.
They revealed, in an interview with CNN television, that the Trump administration was concerned about possible strong reactions by the Islamic Republic of Iran to the oil sanctions imposed by Washington. Officials warned that the United States should be prepared for these reactions.
According to the same sources, the United States is concerned that Iran may not target its military assets and bases in the Middle East, in response to Washington’s cancellation of exemptions for its customers to purchase Iranian crude oil.
White House officials expect Iranian oil customers to find solutions that allow them to bypass U.S. sanctions or even reduce their dependence on the U.S. financial system.
In the aftermath, Elizabeth Rosenberg, former chief advisor to the U.S. Treasury Department, said, “I don’t think Washington can reduce Iran’s oil exports to zero. These exports may decrease but will never be reduced to zero. Washington will face a major challenge in implementing this plan. »
Quoting political analysts and economists, CNN TV reported that differences of opinion between White House officials on US policy towards Iran could affect US foreign policy, especially as the latter tried to get closer to India and China in order to conclude trade agreements.
Henry Rome, an analyst with the Eurasia group, said that “if Iranians consider reacting to US oil sanctions, they will be able to choose a cyber option and launch such attacks against Saudi Arabia’s refineries or banks in the Middle East”.
On the other hand, experts reaffirm that the United States will have difficulty filling the oil gap, due to Iran’s absence from the market, tensions with Venezuela, conflicts in Libya and Saudi Arabia’s decision to reduce its production.